Wildfire Danger Sunday and Rain Chances Starting Monday

 

SAN ANGELO, Texas – Expect clear skies throughout the day, with the potential for breezy west to southwest winds. Heightened fire weather conditions are anticipated, particularly in western sectors of the Big Country and northwest Concho Valley, prompting the issuance of a Red Flag Warning.

As night falls, skies will likely remain mostly clear, though some low clouds may emerge over northwest Hill Country counties towards daybreak on Monday. Overnight, southerly winds will be light, with temperatures dipping into the upper 40s and lower 50s.

Looking ahead to the long term forecast, Monday through Saturday, a potentially severe weather situation looms. An upper-level low is predicted to form over Arizona on Monday morning, descending south along the New Mexico/Mexico border by early Tuesday. Preceding this system, surface low pressure will develop to the north on Monday, accompanied by a rapid influx of low-level moisture across the region. A dryline will sharpen over west Texas by Monday afternoon, setting the stage for convective activity primarily in the evening and overnight hours. Conditions will be ripe for thunderstorms, including supercells, with the potential for large to very large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado threat also exists.

The upper low's trajectory is expected to carry it east across southern New Mexico on Tuesday and into West Texas by early Wednesday, maintaining the risk of showers and thunderstorms through the period. By Wednesday evening, precipitation should diminish as the system moves eastward. Expect cooler temperatures on Wednesday, with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s, followed by a warming trend through the end of the week into the weekend.

It's worth noting that Monday's solar eclipse may face interference from cloud cover, potentially impacting viewing opportunities. Stay tuned for further updates and exercise caution as severe weather threats unfold in the coming days.

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